http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/ Discussion about futarchy Tue, 03 Jan 2012 19:59:20 GMT Tom Breton (Tehom) http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/74 http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/74 Thanks for the links, David. Interesting. Tom Breton (Tehom) Tue, 03 Jan 2012 17:05:37 GMT David Curran http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/73 http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/73 There is a related call here "GDP Needs Help: Let's Build a Second Measure of Economic Strength" Mon, 02 Jan 2012 04:24:22 GMT Tom Breton (Tehom) http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/72 http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/72 (Reposted from my blog with minor edits) One idea in Futarchy is that GDP or some extension thereof is a reasonable proxy for happiness. Today an Sun, 13 Nov 2011 09:58:03 GMT David Curran http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/71 http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/71 "All I know is that I am not a Marxist." Karl Marx Marx was no longer in a position to explain what he meant when Marxist revolutions broke out. So we are in a Wed, 09 Nov 2011 23:03:42 GMT Robin Hanson http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/70 http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/70 Just because government policy is influenced by a market price doesn't make it futarchy. ... Robin Hanson http://hanson.gmu.edu Res. Assoc., Future of Tue, 08 Nov 2011 11:57:57 GMT David Curran http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/69 http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/69 Is what is happening at the moment in Italy a form of futarchy? "Italian bonds rose, pushing down yields from euro-era records, as the nation was pressed to Mon, 01 Mar 2010 02:38:50 GMT Tom Breton (Tehom) http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/68 http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/68 ... Thanks for the link. ... When I think of GDP+ metrics, I ask: * Does it measure the right thing? * What are the second-order effects? * How to accurately Mon, 22 Feb 2010 12:15:22 GMT David Curran http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/67 http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/67 How do you measure GDP+ in a country like Afghanistan? This article "Measuring success in Afghanistan" http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/8524137.stm Wed, 06 Jan 2010 10:02:54 GMT David Curran http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/66 http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/66 There is a new competition to predict where murders in Philadelphia* *will occur http://www.analyticsx.com/ This seems similar to a prediction market for a Mon, 21 Dec 2009 03:13:01 GMT Tom Breton (Tehom) http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/65 http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/65 (In a separate message because it goes into detail) ... I thought the analogy was that the value of the "object" under the box was the net benefit from the Mon, 21 Dec 2009 03:09:40 GMT Tom Breton (Tehom) http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/64 http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/64 ... Not much, because nobody knows what would count as enacting it. ... True, but regardless which type got passed, Malcolm would want to show it after it's Sat, 19 Dec 2009 21:17:45 GMT Raph Frank http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/63 http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/63 ... Effectively, he puts a contract under each box. ... It doesn't actually matter since they are encrypted. If someone is abusing the system, you could bet Sat, 19 Dec 2009 05:17:31 GMT Tom Breton (Tehom) http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/62 http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/62 I'm going to use Raph's analysis post as a jumping-off point and spend this post discussing one issue. ... [...] ... [...] ... Yes, good analysis. But our Fri, 18 Dec 2009 05:08:57 GMT Tom Breton (Tehom) http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/61 http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/61 Greetings, Raph. I like your method for using the market to determine uncertainty. I had some ideas on doing that but your method is more elegant. One thing: Wed, 16 Dec 2009 21:44:56 GMT Raph Frank http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/60 http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futarchy_discuss/message/60 It seems to me that this all boils down to trying to determine the price of something under a box. This is solved in a normal market by the seller refusing to